Ariana Grande, Iggy Azalea's 'Problem' Trending Toward Huge 1st Week Sales & Top 10 Billboard Debut



The song appears headed for a striking top 10 debut on next week's Hot 100.

While highlights of this week's Billboard Hot 100 chart will be revealed tomorrow (April 30), details are already emerging about next week's chart, on which Ariana Grande appears headed for a haughty top 10 debut with her new single, "Problem," featuring Iggy Azalea.

Industry sources suggest that the song, which previews Grande's second album, due this summer, could sell more than 300,000 downloads in the tracking week ending Sunday, May 2, following its digital release yesterday (28). Such a start, regardless of any added airplay or streaming points, would likely translate to a top 10 debut on the sales/airplay/streaming-based Hot 100. We'll know where the song starts on the chart a week from tomorrow (May 7).

(The April 28-May 2 Nielsen SoundScan sales tracking week will feed next week's chart data, encompassing the song's full opening retail week, thus, explaining why the track will likely make its heralded Hot 100 start then, not this week.)

How notable is a debut sales frame of at least 300,000? Just 22 songs have arrived with that sum or better since SoundScan began tracking digital sales more than a decade ago. The last two such songs launched on the Nov. 16, 2013 Digital Songs chart: Eminem's "The Monster," featuring Rihanna (373,000) and One Direction's "Story of My Life" (305,000). (Flo Rida's "Right Round" holds the record with 636,000 first-week downloads sold [Feb. 28, 2009]).
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