NYT's Final Oscar Predictions! + Poll

If Three Billboards snatches original screenplay from Get Out I'm gonna be so mad. That and picture are basically the only two major categories that aren't totally locked and it's sf boring.

Original Screenplay is the only category I care about at this point.

I think Jordan is gonna get that for sure because the academy will want to not sound racist by shutting it out completely. Screenplay is where it has its best shot. And what a great screenplay it is, so much better than its competitors. I hope it pulls it out.

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especially because even people who like the movie agree that the script was the worst part.

I wish you'd made this a "Who Will Win" and "Who Do You Want to Win" but I'm guessing ONTD would probably pick Get Out for the latter.

Literally one of my own main category picks is gonna win, smh.

sis if that dying of consummation one facial expression twink in your icon manages to snatch gary oldman's lock i might actually stan that boring movie a bit tbqfh

lol, well in that case, get ready to keep not stanning!

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I like Frances a lot but I really wish Saoirse or Sally were the frontrunners. I know I say this in literally every post but this is probably the last time I'll get to say it before she collects her award. Great actress but I just wasn't a huge fan of Three Billboards.

I'm hoping TimOT, Daniel or really anyone upsets Oldman but I doubt that will happen either. Just like Laurie is going to be robbed by Allison Janney, who I do love but come on...such a hammy performance.

I wish someone ran a campaign against Oldman for being an abuser. DDL should have done it before retiring lmao

I can't believe that Daily Beast exposee went NOWHERE. I guess none of the other nominees/production companies are ~fighty enough to have rly sunk teeth into it

Disappointingggggg I can't stand him and awarding him is a PERFECT example of why the #timesup etc movement within Hollywood is fucking bullshit and almost entirely masturbatory by participating men. The Academy (and all other award-granting-bodies this season who gave him top honours) are REALLY showing their asses and I hope hope HOPE it becomes a story and something that gets talked about after tonight. The double standards these people manage to excuse are something else.

I feel the same way about Saoirse and Sally.

IA on Frances - Margot, Sally, and Saoirse gave more compelling performances imho.

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ia about frances. i don't see any upsets against oldman or allison.

outside of supporting actor (because i thought sam did a fantastic job despite the stupid movie), i truly hope for an upset, ANYWHERE, but especially in lead actor

Frances was great but I think Sally and Saoirse's roles had a lot more complexity, especially Sally's given she had to learn Sign Language.

Yes to this entire comment!

when Three Billboards wins anything tonight

SEE YOU IN COURT, THE SECURITY OF OUR NATION IS AT STAKE!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 9, 2017

It is such a trash film. I just watched it last week and was fuming at how trash it is. Blue lives matter bullshit

I was saying in another post how I am not much of a movie buff and like a lot of bad movies, but I watched Three Billboards and was like ???? Everything about it was trash and it's clearly a film designed to make white people feel better about being racist trash. And compared to something like Get Out which is so appropriate rn Three Billboards felt so dated in many ways. Aside from all that I also hate these types of films where a shitty person attempts to be redeemed. I know there's lots of debate about that aspect but that alone turned me off majorly too.

Edited at 2018-03-04 09:08 pm (UTC)

Me when 3BB wins anything tonight:

Ugh the acting categories are so disappointing. If there is any justice, it should be Timmy-Daniel tie for best actor (although if I had to pick one, I might give this to Daniel since I rewatched it yesterday, what a tricky performance to get right), Vicky Kreips (who sadly isn't even nommed), Alison Williams (so good and not even nommed) and Willem Dafoe who was so so much better than Rockwell.
Let's hope Jordan Peele gets to give a speech and CMBYN gets at least a single Oscar to take home.

The big extravagant performance for Mystery of Love has me thinking it might actually win, but I don't want to get my hopes up.

It would be much better than any of the songs nommed in the history of the Oscars which are all about bombast and ballads. That's exactly why I think it won't win. But I think James Ivory is 100% winning, hope he gives a shout-out to his partner Ismail Merchant.

Visions of Gideon should’ve been nommed tbh. It’s phenomenal.

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Daniel was so good in Get Out. I have yet to see CMBYN. I’ll prob watch it tonight before the awards show.

call me by your name's got adapted screenplay on lock.

i said this before in another post, but excluding 'the post' (which must have a record low nods for a best picture nominee), the only bp nominee i see going empty handed tonight is lady bird, which is fucking ridiculous since laurie should get the oscar

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I was rewatching PT last night and was even more impressed than the first time around. Beautiful film. I totally agree with you that it should be DDL and Timothee fighting it out for lead actor.

I can NOT understand how Vicky Kreips was not at least nominated she was great.

If Ivory doesn't take BAS I will fucking riot lol

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how is Vicky Krieps not nominated? HOW?

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I'm rooting for Del Toro to win big tonight

I wanted to love The Shape of Water because I adore GDT but I just couldn't... Sally was amazing but her character's relationship with the fishman felt underdeveloped... they bonded and fell in love so quickly. Also, the Cold war aspect was so out of place. They should've left it out of the story.

i hated it tbh. i won't be upset if del toro wins best director but i will be upset if the movie wins best picture.

It's such a terrible movie and I wish GDT won for one of his older movies

Mte on everything. Pan's Labyrinth is one of my all time favourites and I really wanted this to be a return to form for GDT but the story was just so lacking in depth and development.

Pan's Labyrinth is my favourite movie. It's The One for me and I will forever love GDT for making it. The Shape of Water was just disappointing.

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I really did not like it at all, and I can't understand why so many other people do. Great performances, great cinematography, terrible everything else.

This is exactly how I felt about it!

i agree with everything. i was completely underwhelmed

I really enjoyed it but I thought the story was the biggest flaw. The production, cinematography, design, acting, casting, lighting, costuming, make up etc etc was all GREAT. But I totally agree re the underdevelopment of the fishman and their relationship

Same, I wanted to love it but like you say their relationship was underdeveloped and that means the whole movie was underdeveloped because it revolves around the relationship. Without the relationship it's just a movie with a generic plot.

Also I can't be the only one who felt a bit unease with their relationship too. I felt like we didn't get enough insight into how the fishman's mind worked and that he wasn't proactive enough. Maybe I'm being ridiculous but it's not so far-fetched that she could be taking advantage of him if he doesn't understand what's happening. Obviously we know that's not what we're intended to be thinking but it still crosses my mind when I think about the movie.

Yeeeep. It was marketed as this strange, beautiful love story and ended up just being so narratively conventional. It was put together impressively, but the actual arc of the story was as generic as they come if you strip away its quirky elements.

I'm placing my bets on Three Billboards winning Best Picture so I won't be so upset when The Shape of Water and Get Out are robbed of their rightful glory.

i'm truly shocked gary oldman has this on lock. i would've thought voters would've been super into giving DDL his last award.

Three Oscars in ten years would be too much for DDL. I do wonder what would have happened if he aggressively campaigned like he did for Lincoln

I think its the we-should've-given-you-this-years-ago award.

i feel like his retirement is actually working against him, for some reason

I think this is a "career award" for Oldman.

idek how embarrassing it is that i'm invested in this sham of an award, i'm just prayin there's an upset and he doesnt win 🤞🏾🤞🏾🤞🏾

You never know. There could be an upset like there was for Meryl Streep as Thatcher.

I just watched Get Out. I cant believe it is actually nominated for best picture. I mean I really enjoyed it but LOL it’s not the typical „Oscar movie“. Its more like a snatched and straight to Netflix before Halloween kind of movie

Edited at 2018-03-04 09:07 pm (UTC)

yeah it's not a typical oscar movie because it's original and creative and not a tired biopic of a crusty white. as to that last part of your comment... sis...

title or description

I like the movie but I get what you mean. I kept thinking it'll be the cheapest production for a Best Pic nominee

buuuuuuuut I'm not mad about that and am kinda rooting it pulls a dark horse and wins Best Pic lol.