ONTD

12:42 pm - 03/07/2013

Death Watch: EW's Spring TV survival predictions



Ah springtime. The season of renewal — for some shows, at least. There’s a reason the broadcast nets are making mountains of TV pilots: new shows will get planted into the schedule next fall, while some current titles will get pulled out by their roots come May. After a lot of digging around the industry (and a bit of soul-searching), here are our predictions about which shows will likely survive — and which will mercifully wither — before the season comes to an end. As always, a big as-yet-unknown factor is the quality of each network’s pilots (better pilots = fewer surviving bubble shows). Here’s the list with each show’s season-to-date rating among adults 18-49, a number that includes seven days of DVR playback. Let’s start with….

CBS
2 Broke Girls (4.2): Sorry haters, they’ll be back.
Blue Bloods (1.8): Stable Friday drama is a no-brainer to return.
CSI: NY (1.8): Uncertain. Gary Sinise and company could follow CSI: Miami out the door this spring.
CSI (2.9): No mystery here. Will return.
Criminal Minds (3.6): Will return to torture anti-violence crusaders for another season.
Elementary (3.1): Indubitably.
Golden Boy (1.8): Tarnished. If the ratings don’t surge soon, this one is a goner.
Hawaii 5-0 (2.7): Will surf into another season.
How I Met Your Mother (4.0): RENEWED FOR FINAL SEASON
Made in Jersey (1.1): Cancelled
Mike & Molly (3.6): Ratings have fallen lately but we can’t see CBS turning its back on hot commodity Melissa McCarthy.
NCIS (4.2): And face the wrath of 20 million viewers? Not a chance.
NCIS: LA (3.5): Yes.
Partners (2.3): Cancelled
Person of Interest (3.5): Absolutely, a very solid and still-youthful performer in a tough slot.
Rules of Engagement (3.1): CBS likes this show to patch a hole when new comedies drop out, but this season could be the last.
Survivor (3.5): CBS tends to buy Survivor in bulk and the competition is due for another double order. Will continue.
The Amazing Race (2.4): Poor EP Bertram van Munster gets his renewals one round at a time unlike Survivor — but he uses his 57 Emmys to wipe away the tears. He shouldn’t be crying next season, though.
The Big Bang Theory (6.3): Slam dunk.
The Good Wife (2.0): Not a major ratings-grabber but critics — and character actors — love it. This drama won’t go anywhere.
The Job (.8): CBS hasn’t said officially but this short-lived reality show is dead.
The Mentalist (2.4): Given the show’s semi-serialized Red John storyline, this could be the rare example of a CBS crime drama that gets a “final season” announced in advance.
Two and A Half Men (4.2): CBS and studio Warner Bros are talking, so we expect to see another season (as long as Ashton Kutcher doesn’t demand a 45% stake in Warner Bros. TV or something).
Undercover Boss (1.8): Not the most impressive ratings but the network still likes it. Looks okay for now.
Vegas (2.2): Very much a gamble to return.

NBC
Revolution (5.0): One of the few freshman success stories this season. This lights will stay on.
Animal Practice: Cancelled after four episodes
Chicago Fire (2.4): A 10 p.m. NBC drama that sometimes wins its time slot in the dead of winter? We’re surprised it hasn’t been renewed already.
Community (1.6): If the Greendale clan is lucky enough to get another season, it will be a short final semester.
Deception (1.7): Poor-man’s Revenge with poorer ratings. Not hopeful.
Do No Harm: Cancelled
Grimm (2.7): An easy call.
Law & Order: SVU (2.2): At NBC this season, if a show isn’t prompting crying in the network’s hallways, it’s safe.
Off Their Rockers (1.7): It’s a cheap, hole-patching, primetime spackle so yes — it will probably come back.
30 Rock (1.9): Final season
Go On (2.6): Recent ratings suggest that Go On and New Normal will not return, but we expect their odds to improve after they gain a Voice lead-in this spring.
The New Normal (2.2): See Go On.
Guys with Kids (1.5): Daddy might want to look for a new job, just in case.
Parenthood (2.8): After this season’s critically-acclaimed season and solid ratings performance, a renewal is certain.
Parks & Recreation (2.1): Knope expected to get a “Yes.”
Smash (1.4): The fat lady has sung.
Celebrity Apprentice (1.7). Sunday’s return did poorly, but NBC is more likely to blame the all-star conceit. Expect a return next year.
The Biggest Loser (2.7): Jillian Michaels didn’t muscle up better ratings this season, but we still expect a renewal.
The Office (2.8): Final season
Rock Center With Brian Williams (1.0): Nothing NBC has done with this show has made much sense so … yes, it will probably return.
The Voice (5.2): RENEWED
Up All Night (1.7): The last original episode aired in December and a creative overhaul was announced. Christina Applegate quit. Will Arnett booked a new pilot. Maya Rudolph is looking for a variety show. At some point you stop trying to put out a fire and just let the house burn down.
Whitney (1.5): We almost listed this as cancelled before realizing our mistake. It feels like it already is. And yet, we don’t know how to break this to you, but it’s actually got a shot.
1600 Penn (1.5). Soon to be sequestered.

FOX
American Dad (2.7): RENEWED
American Idol: (Wednesdays, 5.6 rating; Thursday, 5.0). We know, all-time low ratings. But it’s still winning many nights. Safe.
Ben & Kate (1.5): Cancelled
Bob’s Burgers (2.3): RENEWED
Bones: (2.8). RENEWED.
Family Guy (3.9): RENEWED.
Fringe (1.6): Final season
Glee (3.5): Nothing is ever simple with Glee. The comedy musical is expected to return for a fifth season, but negotiations between the network and studio are still ongoing.
Hell’s Kitchen: RENEWED
Kitchen Nightmares RENEWED
New Girl (3.4): RENEWED.
Raising Hope (2.0): RENEWED.
The Cleveland Show (1.6): Once again, this is the only Fox animated veteran without a renewal in the spring (the animated shows require a longer lead-time to produce next season’s episodes than the live-action shows). We expect Fox’s hesitation will be permanent this time.
The Following (4.1): RENEWED
The Mindy Project (2.1): RENEWED
The Simpsons (3.3): RENEWED
The Mob Doctor (1.3): Cancelled
The X-Factor (3.6 and 3.4) RENEWED
Touch (1.0): We’re hearing The Walking Dead would be a better title for this one. Kiefer Sutherland is fielding backup offers.

ABC
America’s Funniest Home Videos (1.5): Even YouTube can’t kill it.
Don’t Trust the B– in Apt. 23 (1.6) Cancelled
Castle (2.6): A sure thing. Nathan Fillion’s drama is one of the few solid performers at 10 p.m. on broadcast.
Malibu Country (1.6): Reba McEntire is a reliable performer, but country girl is on the bubble.
Modern Family (5.4): Of course.
Body of Proof (1.2): We can’t see ABC taking a risk on another season. Sorry, Dana Delany.
Dancing with the Stars (2.6): This new season (Andy Dick? Wynonna Judd?) will probably be the show’s lowest rated ever, but ABC won’t give up on the fringe.
Grey’s Anatomy (4.6): Absolutely.
Happy Endings (1.9): The cool kids like it but the masses don’t. Too close to call.
Private Practice (2.4): Final season.
The Neighbors: (2.0) The freshman comedy performs okay but the idea is just so….goofy. Might get renewed just to spite TV critics.
666 Park Avenuee (1.5): Red tagged!
Last Resort (2.0): Docked for good
The Taste (1.9): Hmmm, tastes like … the vacant dusty air of a closed restaurant.
Nashville (2.7): One of the best new shows of the season. Yes.
Last Man Standing (1.8): Tim Allen and his new primetime family could go another round.
Red Widow (1.5): Too soon to say, but … look at that premiere number, then look at the average rating of shows with red lines through them.
Once Upon a Time (4.0): Safe despite recent ratings drops.
Revenge (3.5): Nobody thinks the drama had a great second season, but expect it to return for a third.
Scandal (2.9): Hell yes. This soap has risen in the Thursday ratings to come within shouting distance of Grey’s in recent weeks.
Shark Tank (2.1): A total blockbuster — by Friday standards.
Suburgatory (2.6): Stable performer, but not a lock to return.
The Bachelor (3.0): ABC’s not dumping this franchise into a limo anytime soon.
The Middle (2.7): You don’t watch it, we don’t watch it, but somebody’s watching it. So yes.
Zero Hour (1.3): Cancelled

CW
Arrow (1.3): RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (0.7):  Likely to continue.
Cult (.3): Too early to say, but this cult doesn’t have enough of a following.
Emily Owens, M.D. (.5): Cancelled
Supernatural (1.2): RENEWED
The Vampire Diaries (1.6): RENEWED
America’s Next Top Model (0.8): RENEWED
Nikita (.4): The wild card. The bar is low on The CW on Fridays. But this low?
Hart of Dixie (0.8): If The CW is actually conflicted about Nikita, you gotta figure this soap is reasonably safe.
90210 (.6): Final season.
The Carrie Diaries (.7): Kinda sorta likely to continue. Kinda.

Source

What were the predictions for your fav shows ONTD?
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flitterin 7th-Mar-2013 06:13 pm (UTC)
I already knew about it, but I really like "Don't Trust the B-- in Apt 23" :(
marmar627 7th-Mar-2013 07:17 pm (UTC)
Seeing that and 30 Rock crossed off still depress me :(
miakun 9th-Mar-2013 03:29 pm (UTC)
It's everything Broke Girls wishes it was.
sheinhardt 9th-Mar-2013 09:54 pm (UTC)
same :( I'm sad that it's actually canceled.
themysteriousj 11th-Mar-2013 03:23 am (UTC)
seeing it crossed out kinda broke my heart. :(
hocus_pocus 7th-Mar-2013 06:16 pm (UTC)
more people need to watch the middle
loganx2 7th-Mar-2013 06:19 pm (UTC)
I love this show so much and I cant explain why.
nymphadoratonks 7th-Mar-2013 06:41 pm (UTC)
i just can't watch patricia heaton in anything because she was so insufferable in the few episodes i've seen of everybody loves raymond.

shrill people make me so uncomfortable.
myhipusername 7th-Mar-2013 07:06 pm (UTC)
lol i like watching it on occasion
marmar627 7th-Mar-2013 07:19 pm (UTC)
I hate Patricia Heaton with the passion of a thousand suns but my mom watches it (even though she hates her too) and when I end up catching it, I laugh a lot. I think they do a good job of portraying the Midwest without making fun of it (which, much as I love it, Parks and Rec does sometimes) or making it too hokey
chreesko 6th-May-2013 09:01 pm (UTC)
It's a shame she sucks so much in real life, because I think she's one of the better female comedians in her age range.

ETA: Er, I got lost and forgot this post was from two months ago. Sorry!

Edited at 2013-05-06 09:02 pm (UTC)
k_byte 7th-Mar-2013 07:42 pm (UTC)
seriously! that show is funny/cute.
rainbowstevie 7th-Mar-2013 09:38 pm (UTC)
best comedy currently on television for finding the perfect balance of funny and cute and family-friendly
ellaellaeheheh 8th-Mar-2013 12:05 am (UTC)
the kids are great. I love it
williammiller 11th-Mar-2013 09:11 am (UTC)
I'll watch it if there's nothing else on, but I do think it's funny sometimes!
enagwolo 7th-Mar-2013 06:16 pm (UTC)
Why would The CW continue with The Carrie Diaries with 0.4 ratings? That's not much better than Nikita.
baileygail 7th-Mar-2013 06:25 pm (UTC)
the show has a bigger internet fanbase just like all the other cw shows, the tv ratings don't reflect the web viewers
hewontgo 7th-Mar-2013 06:36 pm (UTC)
Nikita will get renewed because of syndication
TCD or BatB will be cancelled
fruitymangoes 7th-Mar-2013 07:07 pm (UTC)
It's the CW...
fauxkaren 7th-Mar-2013 06:16 pm (UTC)
Oh yay!

The Mindy Project was renewed!

Praying for Happy Endings and Community now though!
choukoumei 7th-Mar-2013 06:16 pm (UTC)
This list basically told me practically nothing I watch will be around next year lol.

Right now I am really rooting for Go On to get renewed, I don't have much hope for my other comedies (except parks) and Go On has had a consistently awesome first season.
blue_kimono 7th-Mar-2013 06:49 pm (UTC)
Go On is so underrated.
choukoumei 7th-Mar-2013 06:59 pm (UTC)
So true. I think it's something people really need to just sit down and watch (and pay attention) because the writing is really strong and does a great job with a pretty large cast.

I keep trying to tell people to watch it, I hope it gets renewed so it can gain a following.
milkradio 7th-Mar-2013 06:58 pm (UTC)
ia, Go On is really good.
zeldafitzgerald 7th-Mar-2013 07:24 pm (UTC)
I love Go On.
anastrophe 7th-Mar-2013 08:49 pm (UTC)
I just watched the pilot for Go On today and really liked it. Glad it stays consistent!
xo_soccer9 7th-Mar-2013 11:13 pm (UTC)
go on is fantastic. the last scene with ryan and anne in tuesday's episode was so sad yet sweet :')
benicebitch 7th-Mar-2013 06:17 pm (UTC)
Don’t Trust the B– in Apt. 23 (1.6) Cancelled

Fuck you, ABC.

hearthecity 7th-Mar-2013 06:17 pm (UTC)
makes me so sad
wits 7th-Mar-2013 06:18 pm (UTC)
they really fucked them over
ilouboutin 7th-Mar-2013 06:19 pm (UTC)
i'm terrified for Happy Endings
okay_awesome 7th-Mar-2013 06:23 pm (UTC)
</3
_scarlett_icons 7th-Mar-2013 06:24 pm (UTC)
I was so upset.

That show was hilarious.

tusiaczek87 7th-Mar-2013 06:30 pm (UTC)
we know that for weeks now but i can't get over it:(
hewontgo 7th-Mar-2013 06:37 pm (UTC)
and those fuckers wont even air the rest of episodes
ariesangel404 7th-Mar-2013 06:57 pm (UTC)
Gone too soon. #NeverForget
marmar627 7th-Mar-2013 07:24 pm (UTC)
I know bb, I know :(
miakun 9th-Mar-2013 03:29 pm (UTC)
;_;
themysteriousj 11th-Mar-2013 03:24 am (UTC)
mte :(
wits 7th-Mar-2013 06:17 pm (UTC)
all i care about is parks, next season will probably be it's last though
hewontgo 7th-Mar-2013 06:38 pm (UTC)
no need to worry for Parks , it's the best rated comedy on NBC after the office
misscrystal 7th-Mar-2013 06:52 pm (UTC)
Noooo! I could easily watch another couple seasons of Parks. It still feels well written even now in season 5. By comparison, The Office was already a mess by season 5.
reidacted 7th-Mar-2013 06:17 pm (UTC)
Criminal Minds (3.6): Will return to torture anti-violence crusaders for another season.

All I'm here for.
ilouboutin 7th-Mar-2013 06:18 pm (UTC)
i cant believe Whitney is still on.
emmy0001 7th-Mar-2013 06:18 pm (UTC)
shark tank!!!!!!!!!

idk why i like it so much.
snark_ranger 7th-Mar-2013 08:01 pm (UTC)
Shark Tank is amazing for two reasons.
1. In a couple of episodes you feel like an expert with them. Someone comes in with their deal and you are like "PSH WAY TO OVERVALUE BUDDY!" As if you were going to invest $500,000 for that 11% share.
2. It is the constant onslaught of "Shit why didn't I think/invent that?"
imnotasquirrel 7th-Mar-2013 06:19 pm (UTC)
BYE NIKITA.
hewontgo 7th-Mar-2013 06:43 pm (UTC)
syndication, it will get renewed
anolinde 7th-Mar-2013 08:48 pm (UTC)
Can you elaborate on that? I just started watching Nikita (I'm on the first season) and I'd be upset to see it cancelled, since so far it's really good. How do you know it'll get renewed?
lillylilacs 7th-Mar-2013 06:19 pm (UTC)
The only network shows I still watch weekly are Parks and Rec, and Happy Endings. And I sometimes watch New Girl, and The Mindy Project.

I would like Happy Endings to be renewed, but I won't be super upset if it's not.
loganx2 7th-Mar-2013 06:20 pm (UTC)
I cant believe that people still watch America's home video, the bachelor and dancing with the (not)stars...and survivor.
buncha_cruncha 7th-Mar-2013 06:26 pm (UTC)
Even if the home video shows don't get ratings, they are so cheap to produce that it's easy for the networks to justify keeping them.
loganx2 7th-Mar-2013 06:33 pm (UTC)
well that's true.
choukoumei 7th-Mar-2013 06:36 pm (UTC)
America's funniest home videos is always something I'm shocked to come across when I see it on tv, I always think it was cancelled years ago.

But I also refuse to accept that it exists outside the Bob Saget years.
milkradio 7th-Mar-2013 06:59 pm (UTC)
America's Funniest Home Videos seems kinda redundant now that we have YouTube imo lol.
myhipusername 7th-Mar-2013 07:09 pm (UTC)
w/e w/e i like to watch every sunday cause i always end up crying with laughter at it

i look foward to watching it when i have shitty weekends
ciccones 7th-Mar-2013 06:21 pm (UTC)
i'm so glad raising hope was renewed. i was scared there for a second.
bluecupxxx 7th-Mar-2013 06:21 pm (UTC)
which of these are the best, ontd? I am currently watching Mike and Molly, Big Bang, HIMYM, The Office, and Modern Family but am getting close to the end of all the eps I have downloaded so I need a new show/s
ciccones 7th-Mar-2013 06:22 pm (UTC)
Raising Hope!

the first season is up on netflix. :)
baileygail 7th-Mar-2013 06:27 pm (UTC)
parks and rec!
bluecupxxx 7th-Mar-2013 06:40 pm (UTC)
DOes it get better after the first season? I watched part of it and didn't like it but I think I remember someone saying it gets way better?
tusiaczek87 7th-Mar-2013 06:32 pm (UTC)
best comedy is definitely parks and recreation then previews seasons of community, archer, happy endings
iluvkidnappers 7th-Mar-2013 06:35 pm (UTC)
raising hope, parks and rec. the neighbors is usually hit or miss but the best part of the show is Toks tbh.

nashville, scandal and the mindy project
maebytonight 7th-Mar-2013 06:42 pm (UTC)
Seconding tusiaczek87's recommendations and adding New Girl & The Mindy Project.
benicebitch 7th-Mar-2013 06:50 pm (UTC)
New Girl, The Mindy Project, Raising Hope, Grey's Anatomy, Psych (idt that one's up there but you should still watch it!)
sadmor8 7th-Mar-2013 07:09 pm (UTC)
Nashville, Scandal, New Girl, and Go On are some of my favorites.
tvwizard 7th-Mar-2013 09:16 pm (UTC)
Go On, New Girl, Community, and Parks and Rec.
am0r_fati 8th-Mar-2013 01:32 am (UTC)
scandal & elementary! (unless you're only looking for comedies, then nvm.)

bob's burgers if you like animation/funny stuff in general... :)

Edited at 2013-03-08 01:34 am (UTC)
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