12:42 pm - 03/07/2013

Ah springtime. The season of renewal — for some shows, at least. There’s a reason the broadcast nets are making mountains of TV pilots: new shows will get planted into the schedule next fall, while some current titles will get pulled out by their roots come May. After a lot of digging around the industry (and a bit of soul-searching), here are our predictions about which shows will likely survive — and which will mercifully wither — before the season comes to an end. As always, a big as-yet-unknown factor is the quality of each network’s pilots (better pilots = fewer surviving bubble shows). Here’s the list with each show’s season-to-date rating among adults 18-49, a number that includes seven days of DVR playback. Let’s start with….
CBS
2 Broke Girls (4.2): Sorry haters, they’ll be back.
Blue Bloods (1.8): Stable Friday drama is a no-brainer to return.
CSI: NY (1.8): Uncertain. Gary Sinise and company could follow CSI: Miami out the door this spring.
CSI (2.9): No mystery here. Will return.
Criminal Minds (3.6): Will return to torture anti-violence crusaders for another season.
Elementary (3.1): Indubitably.
Golden Boy (1.8): Tarnished. If the ratings don’t surge soon, this one is a goner.
Hawaii 5-0 (2.7): Will surf into another season.
How I Met Your Mother (4.0): RENEWED FOR FINAL SEASON
Made in Jersey (1.1): Cancelled
Mike & Molly (3.6): Ratings have fallen lately but we can’t see CBS turning its back on hot commodity Melissa McCarthy.
NCIS (4.2): And face the wrath of 20 million viewers? Not a chance.
NCIS: LA (3.5): Yes.
Partners (2.3): Cancelled
Person of Interest (3.5): Absolutely, a very solid and still-youthful performer in a tough slot.
Rules of Engagement (3.1): CBS likes this show to patch a hole when new comedies drop out, but this season could be the last.
Survivor (3.5): CBS tends to buy Survivor in bulk and the competition is due for another double order. Will continue.
The Amazing Race (2.4): Poor EP Bertram van Munster gets his renewals one round at a time unlike Survivor — but he uses his 57 Emmys to wipe away the tears. He shouldn’t be crying next season, though.
The Big Bang Theory (6.3): Slam dunk.
The Good Wife (2.0): Not a major ratings-grabber but critics — and character actors — love it. This drama won’t go anywhere.
The Job (.8): CBS hasn’t said officially but this short-lived reality show is dead.
The Mentalist (2.4): Given the show’s semi-serialized Red John storyline, this could be the rare example of a CBS crime drama that gets a “final season” announced in advance.
Two and A Half Men (4.2): CBS and studio Warner Bros are talking, so we expect to see another season (as long as Ashton Kutcher doesn’t demand a 45% stake in Warner Bros. TV or something).
Undercover Boss (1.8): Not the most impressive ratings but the network still likes it. Looks okay for now.
Vegas (2.2): Very much a gamble to return.
NBC
Revolution (5.0): One of the few freshman success stories this season. This lights will stay on.
Animal Practice: Cancelled after four episodes
Chicago Fire (2.4): A 10 p.m. NBC drama that sometimes wins its time slot in the dead of winter? We’re surprised it hasn’t been renewed already.
Community (1.6): If the Greendale clan is lucky enough to get another season, it will be a short final semester.
Deception (1.7): Poor-man’s Revenge with poorer ratings. Not hopeful.
Do No Harm: Cancelled
Grimm (2.7): An easy call.
Law & Order: SVU (2.2): At NBC this season, if a show isn’t prompting crying in the network’s hallways, it’s safe.
Off Their Rockers (1.7): It’s a cheap, hole-patching, primetime spackle so yes — it will probably come back.
30 Rock (1.9): Final season
Go On (2.6): Recent ratings suggest that Go On and New Normal will not return, but we expect their odds to improve after they gain a Voice lead-in this spring.
The New Normal (2.2): See Go On.
Guys with Kids (1.5): Daddy might want to look for a new job, just in case.
Parenthood (2.8): After this season’s critically-acclaimed season and solid ratings performance, a renewal is certain.
Parks & Recreation (2.1): Knope expected to get a “Yes.”
Smash (1.4): The fat lady has sung.
Celebrity Apprentice (1.7). Sunday’s return did poorly, but NBC is more likely to blame the all-star conceit. Expect a return next year.
The Biggest Loser (2.7): Jillian Michaels didn’t muscle up better ratings this season, but we still expect a renewal.
The Office (2.8): Final season
Rock Center With Brian Williams (1.0): Nothing NBC has done with this show has made much sense so … yes, it will probably return.
The Voice (5.2): RENEWED
Up All Night (1.7): The last original episode aired in December and a creative overhaul was announced. Christina Applegate quit. Will Arnett booked a new pilot. Maya Rudolph is looking for a variety show. At some point you stop trying to put out a fire and just let the house burn down.
Whitney (1.5): We almost listed this as cancelled before realizing our mistake. It feels like it already is. And yet, we don’t know how to break this to you, but it’s actually got a shot.
1600 Penn (1.5). Soon to be sequestered.
FOX
American Dad (2.7): RENEWED
American Idol: (Wednesdays, 5.6 rating; Thursday, 5.0). We know, all-time low ratings. But it’s still winning many nights. Safe.
Ben & Kate (1.5): Cancelled
Bob’s Burgers (2.3): RENEWED
Bones: (2.8). RENEWED.
Family Guy (3.9): RENEWED.
Fringe (1.6): Final season
Glee (3.5): Nothing is ever simple with Glee. The comedy musical is expected to return for a fifth season, but negotiations between the network and studio are still ongoing.
Hell’s Kitchen: RENEWED
Kitchen Nightmares RENEWED
New Girl (3.4): RENEWED.
Raising Hope (2.0): RENEWED.
The Cleveland Show (1.6): Once again, this is the only Fox animated veteran without a renewal in the spring (the animated shows require a longer lead-time to produce next season’s episodes than the live-action shows). We expect Fox’s hesitation will be permanent this time.
The Following (4.1): RENEWED
The Mindy Project (2.1): RENEWED
The Simpsons (3.3): RENEWED
The Mob Doctor (1.3): Cancelled
The X-Factor (3.6 and 3.4) RENEWED
Touch (1.0): We’re hearing The Walking Dead would be a better title for this one. Kiefer Sutherland is fielding backup offers.
ABC
America’s Funniest Home Videos (1.5): Even YouTube can’t kill it.
Don’t Trust the B– in Apt. 23 (1.6) Cancelled
Castle (2.6): A sure thing. Nathan Fillion’s drama is one of the few solid performers at 10 p.m. on broadcast.
Malibu Country (1.6): Reba McEntire is a reliable performer, but country girl is on the bubble.
Modern Family (5.4): Of course.
Body of Proof (1.2): We can’t see ABC taking a risk on another season. Sorry, Dana Delany.
Dancing with the Stars (2.6): This new season (Andy Dick? Wynonna Judd?) will probably be the show’s lowest rated ever, but ABC won’t give up on the fringe.
Grey’s Anatomy (4.6): Absolutely.
Happy Endings (1.9): The cool kids like it but the masses don’t. Too close to call.
Private Practice (2.4): Final season.
The Neighbors: (2.0) The freshman comedy performs okay but the idea is just so….goofy. Might get renewed just to spite TV critics.
666 Park Avenuee (1.5): Red tagged!
Last Resort (2.0): Docked for good
The Taste (1.9): Hmmm, tastes like … the vacant dusty air of a closed restaurant.
Nashville (2.7): One of the best new shows of the season. Yes.
Last Man Standing (1.8): Tim Allen and his new primetime family could go another round.
Red Widow (1.5): Too soon to say, but … look at that premiere number, then look at the average rating of shows with red lines through them.
Once Upon a Time (4.0): Safe despite recent ratings drops.
Revenge (3.5): Nobody thinks the drama had a great second season, but expect it to return for a third.
Scandal (2.9): Hell yes. This soap has risen in the Thursday ratings to come within shouting distance of Grey’s in recent weeks.
Shark Tank (2.1): A total blockbuster — by Friday standards.
Suburgatory (2.6): Stable performer, but not a lock to return.
The Bachelor (3.0): ABC’s not dumping this franchise into a limo anytime soon.
The Middle (2.7): You don’t watch it, we don’t watch it, but somebody’s watching it. So yes.
Zero Hour (1.3): Cancelled
CW
Arrow (1.3): RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (0.7): Likely to continue.
Cult (.3): Too early to say, but this cult doesn’t have enough of a following.
Emily Owens, M.D. (.5): Cancelled
Supernatural (1.2): RENEWED
The Vampire Diaries (1.6): RENEWED
America’s Next Top Model (0.8): RENEWED
Nikita (.4): The wild card. The bar is low on The CW on Fridays. But this low?
Hart of Dixie (0.8): If The CW is actually conflicted about Nikita, you gotta figure this soap is reasonably safe.
90210 (.6): Final season.
The Carrie Diaries (.7): Kinda sorta likely to continue. Kinda.
Source
What were the predictions for your fav shows ONTD?
Death Watch: EW's Spring TV survival predictions

Ah springtime. The season of renewal — for some shows, at least. There’s a reason the broadcast nets are making mountains of TV pilots: new shows will get planted into the schedule next fall, while some current titles will get pulled out by their roots come May. After a lot of digging around the industry (and a bit of soul-searching), here are our predictions about which shows will likely survive — and which will mercifully wither — before the season comes to an end. As always, a big as-yet-unknown factor is the quality of each network’s pilots (better pilots = fewer surviving bubble shows). Here’s the list with each show’s season-to-date rating among adults 18-49, a number that includes seven days of DVR playback. Let’s start with….
CBS
2 Broke Girls (4.2): Sorry haters, they’ll be back.Blue Bloods (1.8): Stable Friday drama is a no-brainer to return.
CSI: NY (1.8): Uncertain. Gary Sinise and company could follow CSI: Miami out the door this spring.
CSI (2.9): No mystery here. Will return.
Criminal Minds (3.6): Will return to torture anti-violence crusaders for another season.
Elementary (3.1): Indubitably.
Golden Boy (1.8): Tarnished. If the ratings don’t surge soon, this one is a goner.
Hawaii 5-0 (2.7): Will surf into another season.
How I Met Your Mother (4.0): RENEWED FOR FINAL SEASON
Mike & Molly (3.6): Ratings have fallen lately but we can’t see CBS turning its back on hot commodity Melissa McCarthy.
NCIS (4.2): And face the wrath of 20 million viewers? Not a chance.
NCIS: LA (3.5): Yes.
Person of Interest (3.5): Absolutely, a very solid and still-youthful performer in a tough slot.
Rules of Engagement (3.1): CBS likes this show to patch a hole when new comedies drop out, but this season could be the last.
Survivor (3.5): CBS tends to buy Survivor in bulk and the competition is due for another double order. Will continue.
The Amazing Race (2.4): Poor EP Bertram van Munster gets his renewals one round at a time unlike Survivor — but he uses his 57 Emmys to wipe away the tears. He shouldn’t be crying next season, though.
The Big Bang Theory (6.3): Slam dunk.
The Good Wife (2.0): Not a major ratings-grabber but critics — and character actors — love it. This drama won’t go anywhere.
The Mentalist (2.4): Given the show’s semi-serialized Red John storyline, this could be the rare example of a CBS crime drama that gets a “final season” announced in advance.
Two and A Half Men (4.2): CBS and studio Warner Bros are talking, so we expect to see another season (as long as Ashton Kutcher doesn’t demand a 45% stake in Warner Bros. TV or something).
Undercover Boss (1.8): Not the most impressive ratings but the network still likes it. Looks okay for now.
Vegas (2.2): Very much a gamble to return.
NBC
Revolution (5.0): One of the few freshman success stories this season. This lights will stay on.Chicago Fire (2.4): A 10 p.m. NBC drama that sometimes wins its time slot in the dead of winter? We’re surprised it hasn’t been renewed already.
Community (1.6): If the Greendale clan is lucky enough to get another season, it will be a short final semester.
Deception (1.7): Poor-man’s Revenge with poorer ratings. Not hopeful.
Grimm (2.7): An easy call.
Law & Order: SVU (2.2): At NBC this season, if a show isn’t prompting crying in the network’s hallways, it’s safe.
Off Their Rockers (1.7): It’s a cheap, hole-patching, primetime spackle so yes — it will probably come back.
Go On (2.6): Recent ratings suggest that Go On and New Normal will not return, but we expect their odds to improve after they gain a Voice lead-in this spring.
The New Normal (2.2): See Go On.
Guys with Kids (1.5): Daddy might want to look for a new job, just in case.
Parenthood (2.8): After this season’s critically-acclaimed season and solid ratings performance, a renewal is certain.
Parks & Recreation (2.1): Knope expected to get a “Yes.”
Smash (1.4): The fat lady has sung.
Celebrity Apprentice (1.7). Sunday’s return did poorly, but NBC is more likely to blame the all-star conceit. Expect a return next year.
The Biggest Loser (2.7): Jillian Michaels didn’t muscle up better ratings this season, but we still expect a renewal.
Rock Center With Brian Williams (1.0): Nothing NBC has done with this show has made much sense so … yes, it will probably return.
The Voice (5.2): RENEWED
Up All Night (1.7): The last original episode aired in December and a creative overhaul was announced. Christina Applegate quit. Will Arnett booked a new pilot. Maya Rudolph is looking for a variety show. At some point you stop trying to put out a fire and just let the house burn down.
Whitney (1.5): We almost listed this as cancelled before realizing our mistake. It feels like it already is. And yet, we don’t know how to break this to you, but it’s actually got a shot.
1600 Penn (1.5). Soon to be sequestered.
FOX
American Dad (2.7): RENEWEDAmerican Idol: (Wednesdays, 5.6 rating; Thursday, 5.0). We know, all-time low ratings. But it’s still winning many nights. Safe.
Bob’s Burgers (2.3): RENEWED
Bones: (2.8). RENEWED.
Family Guy (3.9): RENEWED.
Glee (3.5): Nothing is ever simple with Glee. The comedy musical is expected to return for a fifth season, but negotiations between the network and studio are still ongoing.
Hell’s Kitchen: RENEWED
Kitchen Nightmares RENEWED
New Girl (3.4): RENEWED.
Raising Hope (2.0): RENEWED.
The Cleveland Show (1.6): Once again, this is the only Fox animated veteran without a renewal in the spring (the animated shows require a longer lead-time to produce next season’s episodes than the live-action shows). We expect Fox’s hesitation will be permanent this time.
The Following (4.1): RENEWED
The Mindy Project (2.1): RENEWED
The Simpsons (3.3): RENEWED
The X-Factor (3.6 and 3.4) RENEWED
Touch (1.0): We’re hearing The Walking Dead would be a better title for this one. Kiefer Sutherland is fielding backup offers.
ABC
America’s Funniest Home Videos (1.5): Even YouTube can’t kill it.Castle (2.6): A sure thing. Nathan Fillion’s drama is one of the few solid performers at 10 p.m. on broadcast.
Malibu Country (1.6): Reba McEntire is a reliable performer, but country girl is on the bubble.
Modern Family (5.4): Of course.
Body of Proof (1.2): We can’t see ABC taking a risk on another season. Sorry, Dana Delany.
Dancing with the Stars (2.6): This new season (Andy Dick? Wynonna Judd?) will probably be the show’s lowest rated ever, but ABC won’t give up on the fringe.
Grey’s Anatomy (4.6): Absolutely.
Happy Endings (1.9): The cool kids like it but the masses don’t. Too close to call.
The Neighbors: (2.0) The freshman comedy performs okay but the idea is just so….goofy. Might get renewed just to spite TV critics.
The Taste (1.9): Hmmm, tastes like … the vacant dusty air of a closed restaurant.
Nashville (2.7): One of the best new shows of the season. Yes.
Last Man Standing (1.8): Tim Allen and his new primetime family could go another round.
Red Widow (1.5): Too soon to say, but … look at that premiere number, then look at the average rating of shows with red lines through them.
Once Upon a Time (4.0): Safe despite recent ratings drops.
Revenge (3.5): Nobody thinks the drama had a great second season, but expect it to return for a third.
Scandal (2.9): Hell yes. This soap has risen in the Thursday ratings to come within shouting distance of Grey’s in recent weeks.
Shark Tank (2.1): A total blockbuster — by Friday standards.
Suburgatory (2.6): Stable performer, but not a lock to return.
The Bachelor (3.0): ABC’s not dumping this franchise into a limo anytime soon.
The Middle (2.7): You don’t watch it, we don’t watch it, but somebody’s watching it. So yes.
CW
Arrow (1.3): RENEWEDBeauty and the Beast (0.7): Likely to continue.
Cult (.3): Too early to say, but this cult doesn’t have enough of a following.
Supernatural (1.2): RENEWED
The Vampire Diaries (1.6): RENEWED
America’s Next Top Model (0.8): RENEWED
Nikita (.4): The wild card. The bar is low on The CW on Fridays. But this low?
Hart of Dixie (0.8): If The CW is actually conflicted about Nikita, you gotta figure this soap is reasonably safe.
The Carrie Diaries (.7): Kinda sorta likely to continue. Kinda.
Source
What were the predictions for your fav shows ONTD?
shrill people make me so uncomfortable.
ETA: Er, I got lost and forgot this post was from two months ago. Sorry!
Edited at 2013-05-06 09:02 pm (UTC)
TCD or BatB will be cancelled
The Mindy Project was renewed!
Praying for Happy Endings and Community now though!
Right now I am really rooting for Go On to get renewed, I don't have much hope for my other comedies (except parks) and Go On has had a consistently awesome first season.
I keep trying to tell people to watch it, I hope it gets renewed so it can gain a following.
Fuck you, ABC.
That show was hilarious.
All I'm here for.
idk why i like it so much.
1. In a couple of episodes you feel like an expert with them. Someone comes in with their deal and you are like "PSH WAY TO OVERVALUE BUDDY!" As if you were going to invest $500,000 for that 11% share.
2. It is the constant onslaught of "Shit why didn't I think/invent that?"
I would like Happy Endings to be renewed, but I won't be super upset if it's not.
But I also refuse to accept that it exists outside the Bob Saget years.
i look foward to watching it when i have shitty weekends
the first season is up on netflix. :)
nashville, scandal and the mindy project
bob's burgers if you like animation/funny stuff in general... :)
Edited at 2013-03-08 01:34 am (UTC)