6:11 pm - 11/05/2012

DVR ratings: ‘Hart of Dixie,’ ‘Grimm’ season 2, ‘Nikita,’ ‘Nashville’ win

Before diving too deep into our analysis of the latest notable DVR ratings, a refresher: these are live+7 numbers that include a full week of time for viewers to watch their favorite shows, and they are not nearly as significant as live viewers when it comes to whether or not a show is renewed or canceled. Our personal litmus test is that any show that gains more than 45% of its 18-49 audience by DVR viewing is one worth looking at, since otherwise it is more or less a moot point.

This week (which we are actually looking at data for the week of October 15), a number of bubble shows in the first and second seasons benefited greatly from these figures … though all of them are probably still safe from being in danger later on. (All figures via TVbythenumbers.)

“Grimm” (up 87% to a 2.8 rating) – “Grimm” is a DVR beast like no other, and it has to be all but guaranteed at the moment that this show is really going nowhere. Next to “Shark Tank,” it’s the best thing Friday night has going for it.

“Nikita” (up 67% to a 0.5) – 67% of a low number is still a really low number, and that is what we are looking at here with this show. Since a third-season renewal adds to the likelihood of a fourth thanks to syndication, our guess here is that “Nikita” will probably receive more episodes, but have to finish its run in the summer months with a reduced budget.

“Nashville” (up 65% to a 3.3) – A 2.0 rating (which the drama had for this week) was not enough to guarantee safety, but good reviews coupled with strong DVR figures may be just enough to give Connie Britton and company at least a full season.

“Chicago Fire” (up 60% to a 2.4) – This decision will probably be made at the eleventh hour. The good news is that the numbers aren’t dropping for this show; the bad news is that it is the lowest-rated drama series the network has at the moment.

“Revolution” (up 57% to a 5.2) – There’s really no point here of including this show. “Revolution” has a full season, and if it returns to these numbers in the spring, season 2 is all but guaranteed.

“Elementary” (up 52% to a 3.5) – Sherlock Holmes has not delivered numbers that will stun anyone into silence, but this is the only new CBS show in the top 25 here … and it and “CSI” are the only CBS shows in the top 20, period.

“Hart of Dixie” (up 50% to a 0.9) – The “Hart of Dixie” ratings are not stellar, but it’s all about perspective. This far, season 2 has averaged better numbers than “Gossip Girl” (in its final season), “90210,” “Nikita,” and “Emily Owens, M.D.” This should get it a season 3 almost by default.

“Scandal” (up 47% to a 2.8) – Like “Nashville,” this well-reviewed show will remain on the bubble despite these strong ratings. Luckily, at least it already has a full season.

“Last Resort” (up 47% to a 2.5) – So why is “Scandal” on the bubble and “Last Resort” in danger despite the small ratings differential? It all comes down to timeslot, and the fact that ABC likes being in business with Shonda Rhimes.

Largest 18-49 Demo Percentage Increase From DVR Viewing for Broadcast TV Shows:

RankProgramsNet18-49 Live+SD (rating)18-49 Live+7 (rating)Post Airdate 18-49 Rating Absolute Increase From DVR ViewingPost Airdate 18-49 Rating % Increase from DVR Viewing
2Gossip Girl-MON-10/15CW0.40.70.375%
330 Rock-10/18NBC1.22.00.867%
6Chicago Fire-10/17NBC1.52.40.960%
8Grey'S ANATOMY-10/18ABC3.45.21.853%
11Hart Of Dixie-10/16CW0.60.90.350%
13Parks and Recreation-10/18NBC1.62.40.850%
14Modern Family-10/17ABC4.77.02.349%
16Last Resort-10/18ABC1.72.50.847%
17Vampire Diaries-10/18CW1.31.90.646%
18Once Upon A Time-10/21ABC3.34.81.545%
19Law And Order:SVU-10/17NBC1.62.30.744%
22Hawaii Five-0-10/15CBS2.13.00.943%
23CSI: NY-10/19CBS1.21.70.542%
24666 PARK AVE-10/21ABC1.72.40.741%
25Raising Hope-10/16FOX1.72.40.741%

Source 1 2

Holy shit, Grimm!
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zeldafitzgerald 5th-Nov-2012 11:20 pm (UTC)
Everyone I know watches Grimm. Not because they like it or care about the plot, it's because we're in Portland and they love seeing where they filmed.

shelostcontro1 s5th-Nov-2012 11:28 pm (UTC)
just commented about this haha. i always see them filming but i have yet to watch the show. I will now that my apartment building/street will be on it. I guess the man star always go to Low Brow Bar ~insider lol
zeldafitzgerald Re: s5th-Nov-2012 11:32 pm (UTC)
Yeah, they film by my office all the time. Aside from that I've been surprised by how often I've seen some of the cast ~out and about~.

It would be cool, if I cared. I'd rather see Michelle Williams but I've still never seen her (though a lot of my friends have).

Edited at 2012-11-05 11:33 pm (UTC)
klutzy_girl 5th-Nov-2012 11:20 pm (UTC)
Oh thank God about Nashville! I love it so much and I don't want it to get cancelled.
jessieka 6th-Nov-2012 12:10 am (UTC)
same. it's one of the only shows i watch live anymore
elksa 5th-Nov-2012 11:20 pm (UTC)
Is Grimm actually good? Should I start watching?
superpchan 5th-Nov-2012 11:27 pm (UTC)
It's a solid "okay". Nothing amazing.
lovedhurtlost 5th-Nov-2012 11:33 pm (UTC)
It's okay. Took about half of the first season to get to ~okay, tho.
homicidalslayer 5th-Nov-2012 11:45 pm (UTC)
Grimm started off badly and got much, much better.
dosko 6th-Nov-2012 12:00 am (UTC)
As a Grimm stan, I'm biased, but I'd give it a 8.5 out of 10. Its better then anything else on Fridays and if you're the type to go out instead... its good enough to DVR. Its not super-amazing-wonderful, but it is entertaining.
ace_kay 5th-Nov-2012 11:22 pm (UTC)
Where the hell is Fringe on that list?
amber_protocol 6th-Nov-2012 12:50 am (UTC)
I think it wasn't airing that week?
ace_kay 6th-Nov-2012 12:55 am (UTC)
Oh. TY!
evett 5th-Nov-2012 11:23 pm (UTC)
I don't watch tv shows live. Commercials are a waste of time. God Bless dvrs.

I just wish shows would stop extending the ending (to trick you into watching the next show. ABC is the biggest offender) cause they always get cut off. All my recordings are back to back to I can't add extra time.
shelostcontro1 5th-Nov-2012 11:27 pm (UTC)
I live in Portland and last week Grimm was filming by my apartment at all hours of the day/night. It was pretty cool to see all the trailers/lights/security/actors. It was seriously an all day production, made me realize how much $ tv shows must cost!
ibelieveinsa 5th-Nov-2012 11:27 pm (UTC)
TSC had the best dvr numbers gain and overall followers and it still got canceled. Prayer circle for Nikita. It's the only thing keeping me from boycotting that pos network.
amber_protocol 6th-Nov-2012 12:51 am (UTC)
TSC was on Thursdays and Nikita is on Fridays, there's totally different expectations for it. Still prayer circling for Nikita though, there can never be enough.
superpchan 5th-Nov-2012 11:27 pm (UTC)
I download all my shows and watch them at my leisure (i.e., pop them on a flash drive and plug that into my TV). I hate commercials and don't watch shows live.
smileyjoe222 5th-Nov-2012 11:31 pm (UTC)
I love Grimm IDGAF I think it's a fun show and the lead has gotten a lot better since the beginning.
homicidalslayer 5th-Nov-2012 11:43 pm (UTC)
I feel like Nick's fight scenes and scenes with Monroe do a lot to make up for his more lackluster performance with Juliette (the actress IRL is adorable but the character is an epic fail)
demi32 5th-Nov-2012 11:49 pm (UTC)
This so much!!!
lovedhurtlost 5th-Nov-2012 11:31 pm (UTC)
I DVR everything. I can't watch live television. Commercials are the devil. I feel like I'm dying whenever I have to sit through one. I can't record that Emily MD show on the CW because too much other shit comes on at that time, so I have to watch it on my CW app. They make me sit through commercials. :( It's the worst.

/1st world problems
kknee13 5th-Nov-2012 11:39 pm (UTC)
I love nashville but I HATE that it's on the same time as AHS so I always have to dvr it
alchemic_fire 5th-Nov-2012 11:39 pm (UTC)
At this point, I'll take any good news for Nikita I can get.
amber_protocol 6th-Nov-2012 12:40 am (UTC)
IKR? gimme any scrap, I'll take it!
homicidalslayer 5th-Nov-2012 11:41 pm (UTC)
demi32 5th-Nov-2012 11:51 pm (UTC)
my tv crush <3
dosko 6th-Nov-2012 12:01 am (UTC)
He's not bad but Sasha is hotter.
shutterspeed 6th-Nov-2012 12:07 am (UTC)
He is so qt
kknee13 6th-Nov-2012 05:59 am (UTC)
I was in love with him when I was 13 and he was on road rules, I printed all of the cast pics of him out and glued them all over my middle school planner/ csb
williammiller 5th-Nov-2012 11:41 pm (UTC)
I watched 6 or 7 episodes of Grimm and had to stop. The lead guy cannot act at all.

I love Nashville and Revolution.
homicidalslayer 5th-Nov-2012 11:46 pm (UTC)
It got good around episode 10
365reasonswhy 5th-Nov-2012 11:46 pm (UTC)
MTE. The lead actor is why I couldn't get into it either. And the lead girl on Revolution is why I can't watch that show.
williammiller 6th-Nov-2012 12:06 am (UTC)
I just focus on Billy Burke's flawless acting lol
tipping4_2 6th-Nov-2012 12:38 am (UTC)
he gets better? lol yeah Grimm guy is quite basiq but youtube scenes with him and Adalind t b q h
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